Short and long-term interest rate risk: The Sovereign Balance-Sheet Nexus
JOURNAL
Finance Research Letters
YEAR
Jun 4, 2019
TYPE
Articles in journals
AUTHORS
Alves, J., Afonso, A
VOL Nº
31
PAGES
294-299
ABSTRACT
We compute stock-flow adjustments (SFA) using sovereign balance sheet developments, and assess their effects on short and long-term interest rates for 14 European countries between 1970 and 2015, in a panel and SUR analysis. We find that an increase in SFA reduces long- and short-term interest rates, with higher reductions for short-term rates. Furthermore, the decreasing effects of an increment in the stock-flow have reduced since the 2008–2009 financial crisis. As expected, there is also an upward push on both interest rates from a rise in sovereign indebtedness.
JEL CLASS
C33;E43;H63;H83
KEYWORDS
Stock-flow adjustment;Debt;Interest rates;SUR;Panel data